ANALYSIS: Is Bernie Sanders the Perfect Oregon Presidential Candidate
Monday, July 27, 2015
Hilary Clinton, the presumptive favorite is leading Vermont Socialist Bernie Sanders in most every significant head-to-head Democratic poll both by state and nationally. But, if there was a candidate that talks about Oregon Democratic issues it is Bernie Sanders. As Sanders builds momentum, could the Vermont Senator duplicate a second upset of Hilary Clinton - as Barack Obama did in 2008?
“Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders' favorable rating among Americans has doubled since Gallup's initial reading in March, rising to 24% from 12% as he has become better known. Hillary Clinton's rating has slipped to 43% from 48% in April. At the same time, Clinton's unfavorable rating increased to 46%, tilting her image negative and producing her worst net favorable score since December 2007,” according to Gallup’s most recent polling data.
For progressive Oregon Democrats, the choice should be fairly clear - Sanders is a populist candidate that talks about issues like raining in Wall Street while according to Open Secrets analysis of campaign data, Clinton's top donors include many of the leading corporate law firms and hundreds of thousands tied to JP Morgan/Chase, the Blackstone Group, and Morgan Stanley.
Sanders' energy and campaign is focused on raising the issues relating to economic inequities in America. "Do we continue the 40-year decline of our middle class and the growing gap between the very rich and everyone else, or do we fight for a progressive economic agenda that creates jobs, raises wages, protects the environment and provides health care for all?" writes Sanders.
Big Donors for Clinton and Small Donations Fuel Sanders
No data shows the difference between the Clinton and Sanders campaigns more so than who is attracting big gifts. GoLocalPDX looks at the campaign data -- specifically those donations over $2,700 versus which candidate is attracting relatively small gifts.
For donations $200 to $499
For donations $2,700 and above
To put in perspective, Clinton has only out raised Sanders 2-to-1 among gifts under $500, but out raised Sanders in gifts of $2,700 and more 70-to-1.
Polls Show Sanders Nearly as Strong Against GOP
While the GOP is crowded and ill defined, all of the national late July polls show Clinton beating each of the leading GOP candidates by small percentages and all within the margin of error. While most show Sanders losing (except him beating GOP candidate Donald Trump), Sanders is polling within the margin of error as well.
Clinton is expected to be in Portland at a fundraiser in August hosted by Win McCormack and Carol Butler. McCormack ranked #19 on GoLocalPDX's list of 50 Wealthiest and Most Influential.
“We are worried about him, sure,” Clinton Communications Director Jennifer Palmieri told the panel on MSNBC’s Morning Joe in early July. “He will be a serious force for the campaign, and I don’t think that will diminish.”
Related Slideshow: Slideshow: The Top 11 Political Scandals in Oregon History
GoLocalPDX lists some of the biggest and most shocking political scandals in Oregon history, from illegal sexual encounters to land fraud, over the last 100 years.
Former Oregon governor, Portland mayor and secretary of the U.S. Transportation Department admits that in the 1970s he had a sexual relationship with a 14-year-old girl. He said the “relationship” went on for 9 months. Goldschmidt was 35 and married at the time.
While Goldschmidt was not holding elective office at the time, he stepped down from his positions at the Oregon Board of Higher Education and Oregon Electric Utility Company. In 2000, he briefly reappeared on the public stage with a quixotic campaign to reconnect the North and South Park Blocks in downtown Portland. Goldschmidt retreated from public life. He was never charged with a crime.
Photo Credit: OrHi 102947 Courtesy Oregon Historical Society (image cropped)
Former city commissioner and then-mayor of Portland, Sam Adams admitted to having a sexual relationship with an 18-year-old male legislative intern after denying the charges and urging the boy to do the same. The two were together before Adams began campaigning for the office of mayor and before the young man was 18.
Adams eventually admitted to the relationship and agreed to cooperate with any investigation, but did not resign from office. The Department of Justice found no incriminating evidence in the investigation, so he was never charged. Adams chose not to run for re-election.
US Republican Sen. Bob Packwood resigned from the Senate after 1995 when allegations of sexual harassment and abuse brought threats of expulsion. In a story in the Washington Post, 10 women claimed the senator had sexually abused and assaulted them.
Packwood’s diary, parts of which were turned over to the Senate Ethics Committee, allegedly documented his abusive behavior. It was later found out that he had removed some of the incriminating pages from the diary and allegedly made threats against other members of Congress. After resigning, Packwood spent time in an alcoholism clinic, blaming his actions on his drinking problem.
Photo Credit: [Public domain or Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons (image cropped)
Oregon’s attempt to create a new health insurance marketplace was passed by the Oregon Legislative in 2011. Issues with a failing website that cost over $160 million of state funds caused the enrollment to switch to paper forms. Contractor Oracle sued Cover Oregon for breach of contract, claiming they were never paid for their software. A month later, Oregon sued Oracle Corporation for a breach of contract as well.
Carolyn Lawson, the former chief information officer for the Oregon Health Authority who received the brunt of the blame in the fiasco, sued Oregon for wrongful discharge and defamation. The lawsuits are still ongoing.
Photo Credit: iStock (image cropped)
In the 1980s, his wife accepted $55,000 in payments for real estate work from a business tycoon with a multibillion-dollar contract before Congress. Mr. Hatfield apologized for the appearance of wrongdoing and gave the money to charity.
Several years later, in 1992, he was formally rebuked by the Senate ethics committee for not disclosing more than $42,000 in gifts from friends and lobbyists — the result of a “careless” clerical error, he said at the time.
Photo Credit: Ground at en.wikipedia [Public domain], from Wikimedia Commons
Oregon Land Fraud
In 1870, the Oregon and California Railroad was granted 3 million acres on which to build a rail line from Portland to California. The excess land was to be sold to settlers in small portions, yet the president of the railroad decided to sell the land to timber companies for a greater profit. He hired surveyor Stephen A. Douglas Puter to gather people from saloons to register for land that would be transferred to Puter and sold to the highest bidder for timber harvest.
With more than 1,000 initial indictments issued in the case, some U.S. senators and representatives were charged. Of the four major politicians brought to trial, only two—Rep. John Hicklin Hall and Sen. John H. Mitchell—were found guilty for failing to investigate the case. Hall was later pardoned by President William Howard Taft and Mitchell died from a tooth-extraction complication while waiting for his appeal.
By John_Hicklin_Hall.png: Republican Party [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons (image cropped)
The Oregon Democrat congressman from Portland, was asked to resign after a young woman alleged Wu forced her into an unwanted sexual encounter. An 18-year-old girl told the Oregonian she had an “aggressive” sexual encounter with Wu. Wu admitted to the encounter, but claimed it was consensual. He fought resigning, but finally gave in.
It was not the first allegation of its kind against Wu. In 2004, a 1976 incident involving the alleged rape of his former girlfriend was looked into. Despite the attention, Wu won the election that year. Wu continues to live in the Washington, D.C. area.
Photo credit: Official portrait
While chairman of the Multnomah County Board of Commissioners, Jeff Cogen was investigated for using taxpayer money to pay for hotel rooms and trips for an extramarital affair with a county Health Department policy director. He was also accused of frequently smoking marijuana and using cocaine while in office.
Cogen refused to speak to state investigators and ignored calls to resign until a few months after the incident. No evidence was found to charge him with any crimes. This year he worked with a petitioning firm that gathered signatures for legalized marijuana.
Photo Credit: public domain
The Willamette Week reported that Portland mayoral candidate Smith was cited for a 1993 for a misdemeanor assault on a women. The alleged assault took place when Smith was enrolled at the University of Oregon. Witnesses said that the victim woke up with Smith on top of her, and started hitting him. Smith claimed that "it was the worst night of his life" and that he tried to take responsibility for it immediately.
Smith said he agreed to 20 hours of community service, apologized to the woman, and paid her medical bills. He said the charge was dropped in exchange.
Photo credit: public domain
Multnomah Bridge Scandal
In 1924 three county commissioners were recalled for "graft, bribery, and malfeasance" after awarding a construction contract for the repair of the Burnside Bridge and the construction of the Sellwood and Ross Island bridges. They voted to select a bid offered as a joint effort by three local construction firms, who would each build a new bridge. It was $500,000 more than the only other bid that was entered in a rushed, 24-hour window.
The public started a recall petition for the commissioners and the Oregon State Attorney started an investigation, charging the commissioners with soliciting, accepting bribes, and malfeasance for not picking the lowest bid. Although no charges stuck, the commissioners were kicked out of office by a large majority of voters.
By Steve Morgan (Own work), via cc (image cropped)
Terry Schrunk (Bonus)
Schrunk was the mayor of Portland for 16 years, 1957-1973. His first year as mayor, allegations of bribery and perjury charges landed him before a special Senate committe.
Schrunk was accused of raiding the rowdy 8212 club with fellow deputies in 1955 when he was a Multnomah County Sheriff, and accepting a $500 bribe from the manager to leave and look the other way.
Schrunk denied having taken any bribe, but did admit that his deputies had raided the 8212 Club, seen illegal activity, and left without further action. Schrunk was tried on bribery and perjury charges and found not guilty.
Photo Credit: Oreg. Hist. Soc. Research Lib., bb005787 (image cropped)
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